At the start of the season, not many people would have predicted that Wycombe would still be in with a mathematical chance of Championship survival with just two games remaining.
Although the proposition is a very unlikely one, Wanderers are still hanging on by the thinnest of threads.
Saturday’s narrow defeat at Cardiff would’ve relegated the Chairboys had Derby picked up any points, but the Rams continued their woeful run following their loss against Birmingham, and are still looking over their shoulders.
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The League Two escape at Torquay in 2014 is often mentioned when describing how far Wanderers have come, but the size of this task dwarfs that one.
Anis Mehmeti has progressed from the B team to play in the first team (Prime Media)
However, they did receive a slight boost in midweek with Rotherham’s 1-0 away loss against Brentford.
To put it simply, Wycombe must win both of their remaining fixtures to have any chance.
That’s made very difficult by the fact that Bournemouth come to Adams Park on Saturday, a team with huge amounts of individual quality.
The Chairboys travel to Middlesbrough on the final day, and with ‘Boro’ having nothing to play for, that’s certainly a more winnable contest.
If Wanderers manage to pick up maximum points, then they have to hope Rotherham collect no more than four points from their last three games, Sheffield Wednesday do the same from their final two, and that Derby lose both of theirs.
That might seem possible given that none of the teams directly above Wycombe are in good form, but the real sticking point comes with the goal difference.
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One of Wycombe's league wins this season came against Preston North End in March (PA)
With Wanderers on -34 and Derby on -21, provided that Gareth Ainsworth’s men close the points gap, there needs to be a 13-goal swing.
Wycombe have scored more goals than Wayne Rooney’s side, so would be set to finish above them should the goal difference be level, but need to do something they’ve rarely done this season to make that happen.
Having managed three goals on just two occasions during the league campaign, the Chairboys could be relying on Derby shipping plenty of goals.
Despite their recent struggles, the Rams have a respectable defensive record, and come up against Swansea and Sheffield Wednesday, two sides who aren’t exactly free-scoring.
That final-day clash between Wednesday and Derby is an added complication for the Chairboys, and with at least one of those two guaranteed to pick up points, that renders the task they face borderline impossible.
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